Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.023984 0.026044 0.028199 0.030620 0.033268 0.036076 0.039283
2025-07-27 0.020594 0.023565 0.026850 0.030756 0.035284 0.040375 0.046548
2025-08-03 0.018191 0.021634 0.025601 0.030522 0.036481 0.043484 0.052372
2025-08-10 0.016708 0.020504 0.025027 0.030836 0.038127 0.047017 0.058738
2025-08-17 0.015206 0.019160 0.024008 0.030418 0.038717 0.049158 0.063384
2025-08-24 0.013923 0.017956 0.023025 0.029904 0.039055 0.050896 0.067512
2025-08-31 0.012941 0.017044 0.022321 0.029652 0.039653 0.052929 0.072074
2025-09-07 0.012103 0.016251 0.021697 0.029431 0.040227 0.054906 0.076617
2025-09-14 0.011396 0.015578 0.021177 0.029292 0.040867 0.056962 0.081342
2025-09-21 0.010699 0.014870 0.020555 0.028951 0.041173 0.058526 0.085408
2025-09-28 0.010209 0.014418 0.020254 0.029032 0.042061 0.060940 0.090834
2025-10-05 0.009700 0.013904 0.019830 0.028896 0.042602 0.062850 0.095579
2025-10-12 0.009245 0.013465 0.019515 0.028944 0.043484 0.065411 0.101657
2025-10-19 0.008858 0.013106 0.019302 0.029136 0.044602 0.068412 0.108665
2025-10-26 0.008398 0.012608 0.018850 0.028926 0.045068 0.070408 0.114165
2025-11-02 0.008104 0.012345 0.018733 0.029223 0.046340 0.073742 0.122076
2025-11-09 0.007667 0.011836 0.018206 0.028829 0.046460 0.075193 0.126878
2025-11-16 0.007244 0.011324 0.017645 0.028343 0.046388 0.076304 0.131138
2025-11-23 0.006907 0.010932 0.017252 0.028106 0.046708 0.078074 0.136653
2025-11-30 0.006600 0.010572 0.016891 0.027897 0.047055 0.079896 0.142360
2025-12-07 0.006331 0.010258 0.016587 0.027766 0.047520 0.081937 0.148586
2025-12-14 0.006041 0.009898 0.016188 0.027445 0.047626 0.083335 0.153686
2025-12-21 0.005845 0.009684 0.016024 0.027520 0.048438 0.086041 0.161439